Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 28.5

Market brief

• Up 44.5 pp over the past week (+8.5 pp in the last 24 hours), after dipping to 50% on Oct 29, 2026.
• Historically, 85% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 85–95% seven days before the end resolved YES (432 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 10, 2026).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 432 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 85.4% resolved YES. That is 4.5 points less often than their average price of 90.0% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
• Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
• Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

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