Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?

Market brief

• Down 39.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 54% on Oct 23, 2026.
• Last 50 trades: 31 buys, 19 sells; the largest was $227 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
• Historically, 12% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% one day before the end resolved YES (124 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 16 hr. (Oct 24, 2026).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 124 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% one day before resolution, 12.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 8.7%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
• Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.

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The most-traded open Crypto markets from other events.

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