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Updated 28 min. ago

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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0 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −0.1%24h▼ −0.6%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

19 outcomes
See all 19 outcomes

Total volume

$3.3M

24h vol.

$40.9K

1w vol.

$425.4K

1m vol.

$1.3M

Liquidity

$412.8K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Sep 22, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$25,283
0¢$79,647
0¢$204,404
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$1,580
1¢$30,041
1¢$21,745
1¢$25,416
1¢$7,809
1¢$9,640
1¢$9,407
1¢$5,326
1¢$5,966
1¢$3,787

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✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 52%Sells 48%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
37 min. agoBuy100¢161
37 min. agoBuy0¢161
37 min. agoBuy100¢20
37 min. agoBuy0¢20
37 min. agoBuy100¢25
37 min. agoBuy0¢25
37 min. agoBuy100¢8
37 min. agoBuy0¢8
59 min. agoBuy100¢11
59 min. agoBuy0¢11
1 hr. agoSell0¢291
1 hr. agoBuy0¢90
1 hr. agoSell100¢201
1 hr. agoBuy1¢200
1 hr. agoSell1¢200
1 hr. agoBuy0¢11,903
1 hr. agoBuy100¢131
1 hr. agoSell0¢80
1 hr. agoSell0¢80
1 hr. agoSell0¢400
1 hr. agoSell0¢400
1 hr. agoSell0¢12
1 hr. agoSell0¢400
1 hr. agoSell0¢400
1 hr. agoSell0¢400
1 hr. agoSell0¢88
1 hr. agoSell0¢700
1 hr. agoSell0¢41
1 hr. agoSell0¢131
1 hr. agoBuy100¢38
1 hr. agoBuy100¢41
1 hr. agoSell0¢208
1 hr. agoSell0¢35
1 hr. agoSell0¢66
1 hr. agoSell0¢40
1 hr. agoSell0¢400
1 hr. agoSell0¢50
1 hr. agoSell0¢400
1 hr. agoSell0¢400
1 hr. agoSell0¢400
1 hr. agoSell0¢3,636
1 hr. agoSell0¢20
1 hr. agoSell0¢400
1 hr. agoSell0¢400
1 hr. agoSell0¢400
1 hr. agoSell0¢400
1 hr. agoSell0¢400
1 hr. agoSell0¢10
1 hr. agoSell0¢151
1 hr. agoSell0¢40

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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