← Dashboard · Crypto
Updated 25 min. ago
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?
42 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 8.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 32% on Nov 2, 2026.
- Historically, 54% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 35–65% one day before the end resolved YES (154 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 16 hr. (Nov 3, 2026).
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Total volume
$51.7K
24h vol.
$51.8K
1w vol.
$51.8K
1m vol.
$51.8K
Liquidity
$29.5K
Bid / Ask
41¢ / 43¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
43¢
Start date
Nov 1, 2026
End date
Nov 3, 2026
ends in 16 hr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 154 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 35–65% one day before resolution, 53.9% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.6%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades
Failed to load trades: Upstream request failed (410) for https://data-api.polymarket.com/trades?market=0x6f9a955c14d5a37eeb59d02ac17a72072a5140ad607df0954f56afd92ac0c567&limit=50&takerOnly=true
Related markets
The most-traded open Crypto markets from other events.
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?1 %▼ −5.8%
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?73 %▼ −5.0%
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 3?0 %▼ −0.2%
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 2?1 %▲ +0.0%
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?2 %▼ −0.7%
- Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2?1 %▲ +0.0%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.