Daily recap
Prediction market recap — Aug 25, 2026
The moves that mattered across Polymarket, plus where the AI disagreed with the market. Fresh every day — no signup.
This is an archived recap. See today's latest recap.
Top moves
Biggest 24-hour price swings on the public markets.
1
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?100¢▲ +99.5%2Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?100¢▲ +97.3%3
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August?100¢▲ +96.9%4
Will XRP reach $1.40 in August?100¢▲ +93.5%5
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August?100¢▲ +92.5%6
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?0¢▼ −90.5%
Where AI disagrees with the market
The widest gaps between the market price and the AI's research-based estimate.
Fresh AI research
Markets our AI analysed most recently.
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