Daily recap
Prediction market recap — Sep 15, 2026
The moves that mattered across Polymarket, plus where the AI disagreed with the market. Fresh every day — no signup.
This is an archived recap. See today's latest recap.
Top moves
Biggest 24-hour price swings on the public markets.
1Will Zemun be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?92¢▲ +80.0%2
Will Marco Rubio give the next White House press briefing?1¢▼ −79.2%3Max Verstappen: Retirement — Before the 2029 season50¢▲ +79.0%4
Tiburon: Alastair Gray vs Patrick Maloney0¢▼ −66.0%5
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 14 2026?24¢▼ −63.5%6
Valencia: Francesca Curmi vs Veronika Erjavec100¢▲ +62.0%
Will Marco Rubio give the next White House press briefing?1¢▼ −79.2%3Max Verstappen: Retirement — Before the 2029 season50¢▲ +79.0%4Tiburon: Alastair Gray vs Patrick Maloney0¢▼ −66.0%5Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 14 2026?24¢▼ −63.5%6Valencia: Francesca Curmi vs Veronika Erjavec100¢▲ +62.0%Where AI disagrees with the market
The widest gaps between the market price and the AI's research-based estimate.
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Market 97%AI 36%+61 pp gap
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Market 6%AI 61%-55 pp gap
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Market 88%AI 57%+31 pp gapWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Market 13%AI 43%-30 pp gapFresh AI research
Markets our AI analysed most recently.
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