Daily recap
Prediction market recap — Sep 17, 2026
The moves that mattered across Polymarket, plus where the AI disagreed with the market. Fresh every day — no signup.
This is an archived recap. See today's latest recap.
Top moves
Biggest 24-hour price swings on the public markets.
1Will Anna Bright qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?91¢▲ +83.5%2Will Jorja Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?89¢▲ +81.5%3Will Zemun be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?92¢▲ +80.0%4Will Anna Leigh Waters reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?82¢▲ +74.0%5Will Parris Todd qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?82¢▲ +73.5%6Will Ben Johns qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?85¢▲ +71.0%
Where AI disagrees with the market
The widest gaps between the market price and the AI's research-based estimate.
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Market 7%AI 27%-20 pp gapWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Market 26%AI 41%-15 pp gap
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsMarket 45%AI 59%-14 pp gap
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?Market 3%AI 14%-11 pp gapFresh AI research
Markets our AI analysed most recently.
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