Stanley Cup Final
Sixteen teams, four best-of-seven rounds and a sport in which one goaltender can decide a series.
- How often
- Annually, in June, after two months of playoffs.
- Who decides, and on what
- The result of the best-of-seven Stanley Cup Final, as recorded by the NHL.
Open markets on Stanley Cup Final
Live prediction markets whose question turns on this event. Prices update with the rest of the site.
Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
Volume $80K
5 %
▲ +0.0%
Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
Volume $76.5K
0 %
▲ +0.0%
Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
Volume $71.1K
7 %
▼ −0.2%
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
Volume $68.2K
8 %
▲ +0.0%
Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
Volume $65.8K
12 %
▲ +0.0%
Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
Volume $65.3K
10 %
▼ −0.5%
Stanley Cup odds by team
What traders pay for each team on Polymarket and Kalshi right now, and how many of 4 licensed US sportsbooks list it.
As of : for 15 of 16 teams, no Polymarket or Kalshi price is 3 points or more away from the no-vig consensus of licensed US sportsbooks. The median largest gap per team is 0.8 points.
Exchange prices are before the venue's fee. The consensus is the median of at least two sportsbooks' prices with their margin removed across the whole field. With this many outcomes that slightly overstates long shots, because books put more of their margin there. Teams priced below 2 % everywhere are left out of the count.
Compare with the sportsbook consensus
| Team | Polymarket | Books |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado Avalanche | 9.5 % | 4 |
| Carolina Hurricanes | 12.5 % | 4 |
| Edmonton Oilers | 11.5 % | 4 |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 7.5 % | 4 |
| Florida Panthers | 5.5 % | 4 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 4.5 % | 4 |
| Minnesota Wild | 7.2 % | 4 |
| New Jersey Devils | 6.8 % | 4 |
| Dallas Stars | 5.5 % | 4 |
| Washington Capitals | 3.8 % | 4 |
| Utah Mammoth | 3.4 % | 4 |
| Montreal Canadiens | 4.9 % | 4 |
| Ottawa Senators | 3.0 % | 4 |
| Boston Bruins | 2.9 % | 4 |
| Buffalo Sabres | 1.7 % | 4 |
| Los Angeles Kings | 1.8 % | 4 |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 2.7 % | 4 |
| New York Rangers | 1.1 % | 4 |
| Anaheim Ducks | 1.6 % | 4 |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 1.7 % | 4 |
| St. Louis Blues | 0.6 % | 4 |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 1.1 % | 4 |
| San Jose Sharks | 0.8 % | 4 |
| Nashville Predators | 0.7 % | 4 |
| New York Islanders | 0.5 % | 4 |
| Seattle Kraken | 0.4 % | 4 |
| Winnipeg Jets | 0.3 % | 4 |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 0.4 % | 4 |
| Detroit Red Wings | 0.2 % | 4 |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 0.1 % | 4 |
| Calgary Flames | 0.1 % | 4 |
| Vancouver Canucks | 0.1 % | 4 |
Data only — we do not link to or recommend any sportsbook.
How accurate have these markets been?
The corpus holds 0 scored markets of this kind so far. We publish a hit rate from 30 — fewer than that rewards luck rather than measuring anything.
Measured on our own corpus of resolved markets, using the price seven days before resolution. A band shows a rate only from 30 cases — fewer than that rewards luck. A historical frequency is not a probability for the next one.
Schedule, venues and live odds
Who plays when and where this week, with the live price of every game.
Low scores, wide outcomes
Hockey games are decided by few goals, so chance has more say in a single game than in basketball. Sixteen wins over four rounds are needed for the Cup, and the best team of the regular season fails to win it far more often than not.
Title prices therefore stay spread over many teams deep into the spring. A favourite at 15 % is normal here, not a sign of a thin market.
The goaltender is the injury that matters
No single position moves a hockey price like the starting goaltender. A change in net before a series is the news to check before reading a series or title price.
The contract trades between rounds, and each round removes half of the field. Selling after a series win is a complete trade.
Common questions
What does a Stanley Cup price mean?
The implied chance that a team wins the Cup. At 12 %, a contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if that team wins the Final.
Does overtime count in playoff game markets?
Yes. Playoff games are played to a winner in sudden-death overtime, and game markets settle on the final result. There is no shootout in the playoffs.
How accurate are these markets?
The accuracy figures on this page are measured from our own corpus of resolved markets, and the page shows the sample size rather than a number when the corpus is too small.