← Dashboard · Tech
Updated 2 days ago

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
64 %
chance
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
12 outcomesTotal volume
$1M
24h vol.
$3K
1w vol.
$74.5K
1m vol.
$112K
Liquidity
$13.1K
Bid / Ask
63¢ / 65¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
65¢
Start date
Feb 2, 2026
End date
Jan 2, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 days ago | Buy | 65¢ | 15 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 65¢ | 15 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 64¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 36¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 64¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 36¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 64¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 36¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 64¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 36¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 64¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 64¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 36¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 36¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 37¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 37¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 63¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 37¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 38¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 38¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 63¢ | 70 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 63¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 37¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 37¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 64¢ | 200 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 36¢ | 200 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 62¢ | 210 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 37¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 38¢ | 200 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 59¢ | 16 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 41¢ | 16 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 41¢ | 45 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 41¢ | 45 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 23 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 40¢ | 4 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 61¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 15 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 61¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 39¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 39¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 39¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 39¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 60¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 40¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 33 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 39¢ | 33 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 25 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.