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Updated just now

87 %
chance
Total volume
$563.9K
24h vol.
$5.3K
1w vol.
$29.9K
1m vol.
$176.8K
Liquidity
$119.7K
Bid / Ask
86¢ / 87¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
86¢
Start date
Feb 2, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 5 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 6 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 6 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 3 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 3 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 2,907 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 985 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 1,000 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 922 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 2,200 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 2,200 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 17 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 17 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 1 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 1 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 69 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 61 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 9 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 40 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 40 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 25 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 25 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 1 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 1 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 1 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 1 |
| 20 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 2 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 2 |
| 21 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 1 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 1 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 86¢ | 2,907 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 86¢ | 923 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 86¢ | 1,984 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 86¢ | 31 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 86¢ | 16 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 86¢ | 15 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 87¢ | 1 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 13¢ | 1 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 1 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 1 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 87¢ | 11 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 13¢ | 11 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 2 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 2 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 1 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 1 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 500 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 500 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 500 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 500 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 85¢ | 63 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.