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Updated 2 days ago

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Tech
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64 %

chance

▲ +1.5%1h▲ +0.5%24h▲ +19.0%1W
Yes 64¢No 36¢

Total volume

$1M

24h vol.

$3K

1w vol.

$74.5K

1m vol.

$112K

Liquidity

$13.1K

Bid / Ask

63¢ / 65¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

65¢

Start date

Feb 2, 2026

End date

Jan 2, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
63¢$46
62¢$60
61¢$515
58¢$297
57¢$5
56¢$43
55¢$1,025
52¢$17
50¢$30
45¢$570
Asks (sell)Size
65¢$1,990
66¢$6,381
67¢$3,630
68¢$450
69¢$315
70¢$30
71¢$124
72¢$64
73¢$75
75¢$1,420

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 85%Sells 15%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoBuy65¢15
2 days agoSell65¢15
2 days agoBuy64¢10
2 days agoBuy36¢10
2 days agoBuy64¢10
2 days agoBuy36¢10
2 days agoBuy64¢10
2 days agoBuy36¢10
2 days agoBuy64¢30
2 days agoBuy36¢30
2 days agoBuy64¢20
2 days agoSell64¢10
2 days agoBuy36¢5
2 days agoBuy36¢5
2 days agoSell37¢30
2 days agoBuy37¢30
2 days agoBuy63¢30
2 days agoBuy37¢30
2 days agoSell38¢30
2 days agoBuy38¢30
2 days agoBuy63¢70
2 days agoSell63¢30
2 days agoBuy37¢30
2 days agoBuy37¢10
2 days agoBuy64¢200
2 days agoBuy36¢200
2 days agoBuy62¢210
2 days agoBuy37¢10
2 days agoBuy38¢200
2 days agoSell59¢16
2 days agoSell41¢16
2 days agoBuy41¢45
2 days agoSell41¢45
2 days agoBuy39¢23
2 days agoSell40¢4
2 days agoBuy61¢20
2 days agoBuy39¢15
2 days agoBuy61¢10
2 days agoSell39¢5
2 days agoBuy39¢10
2 days agoSell39¢10
2 days agoBuy39¢10
2 days agoSell39¢10
2 days agoBuy39¢5
2 days agoSell39¢5
2 days agoSell60¢0
2 days agoSell40¢0
2 days agoBuy39¢33
2 days agoSell39¢33
2 days agoBuy39¢25

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

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