← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 1 min. ago

21 %
chance
Total volume
$1.5M
24h vol.
$120.5K
1w vol.
$352.1K
1m vol.
$1.1M
Liquidity
$123.5K
Bid / Ask
20¢ / 22¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
21¢
Start date
May 6, 2026
End date
Apr 30, 2026
ends 3 mo. ago
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 725 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 725 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 8 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 8 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 40 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 20 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 20 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 111 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 111 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 6 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 6 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 4,000 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 2,956 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 844 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 3,716 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 3,716 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 13 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 3 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 500 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 495 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 24 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 24 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 2,500 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 2,500 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 500 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 500 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 2,500 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 2,500 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 6,250 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 6,250 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 30 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 30 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 6 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 6 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 5 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.