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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
19 %
chance
Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
13 outcomesTotal volume
$4.9K
24h vol.
$1.7K
1w vol.
$1.7K
1m vol.
$2.9K
Liquidity
$844.195
Bid / Ask
19¢ / 20¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
17¢
Start date
May 27, 2026
End date
Apr 1, 2027
ends in 5 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.4% resolved YES. That is 5.3 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 23¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 74 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 29 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 230 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 185 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 26 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 71 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 71 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 1 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 1 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 100 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 35 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 51 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 51 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 205 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 205 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 213 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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