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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
27 %
chance
Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
13 outcomesTotal volume
$4.4K
24h vol.
$3.14
1w vol.
$507.419
1m vol.
$893.948
Liquidity
$2.1K
Bid / Ask
26¢ / 27¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
26¢
Start date
May 27, 2026
End date
Apr 1, 2027
ends in 5 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.4% resolved YES. That is 5.3 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 32¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 13 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 63¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 63¢ | 39 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 39 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 39 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 192 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 70 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 65 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 45 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 9 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 4 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 6 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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