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Updated 4 days ago

Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

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5 %

chance

▼ −0.4%1h▲ +1.2%24h▲ +2.4%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

10 outcomes
See all 10 outcomes

Total volume

$158.6K

24h vol.

$2.7K

1w vol.

$21.4K

1m vol.

$61.5K

Liquidity

$20.6K

Bid / Ask

4¢ / 6¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

7¢

Start date

Jun 1, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
3¢$2,593
3¢$300
2¢$6,134
2¢$4,191
2¢$5,900
1¢$950
1¢$19,658
1¢$2,481
1¢$2,735
1¢$3,045
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$29
3¢$97
3¢$94
3¢$92
4¢$200
5¢$49
8¢$200
10¢$110
11¢$10
12¢$82

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 62%Sells 38%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 days agoSell3¢40
4 days agoBuy3¢40
4 days agoSell3¢69
4 days agoBuy3¢69
4 days agoBuy3¢69
4 days agoSell3¢69
4 days agoSell3¢893
4 days agoBuy3¢893
5 days agoBuy3¢101
5 days agoSell3¢101
5 days agoBuy3¢104
5 days agoSell3¢104
5 days agoBuy98¢10
5 days agoBuy3¢10
5 days agoBuy3¢119
5 days agoSell3¢49
5 days agoSell3¢7
5 days agoSell3¢63
5 days agoBuy3¢20
5 days agoSell3¢20
5 days agoBuy98¢15
5 days agoBuy2¢15
5 days agoBuy98¢190
5 days agoBuy2¢190
5 days agoBuy98¢130
5 days agoBuy2¢130
5 days agoBuy98¢10
5 days agoBuy3¢10
5 days agoBuy98¢40
5 days agoBuy2¢40
5 days agoBuy98¢33
5 days agoBuy2¢33
5 days agoBuy98¢10
5 days agoSell98¢10
5 days agoBuy98¢20
5 days agoSell98¢20
5 days agoBuy98¢6
5 days agoBuy2¢6
5 days agoBuy98¢83
5 days agoBuy2¢83
5 days agoBuy3¢110
5 days agoSell3¢110
5 days agoSell2¢147
5 days agoBuy2¢147
5 days agoBuy2¢114
5 days agoSell2¢114
5 days agoSell2¢74
5 days agoBuy2¢74
5 days agoBuy2¢136
5 days agoSell2¢18

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