← Dashboard · Tech
Updated 2 hr. ago

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
8 %
chance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
10 outcomesTotal volume
$154.8K
24h vol.
$4.1K
1w vol.
$37.1K
1m vol.
$72.7K
Liquidity
$22.9K
Bid / Ask
8¢ / 9¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
10¢
Start date
Jun 1, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 0 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 0 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 0 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 0 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 24 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 24 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 100 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 49 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 51 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 757 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 660 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 47 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 90¢ | 483 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 90¢ | 83 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 91¢ | 400 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 10¢ | 83 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 89¢ | 32 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 10¢ | 51 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 91¢ | 220 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 91¢ | 220 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 9¢ | 483 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 91¢ | 220 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 91¢ | 263 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 9¢ | 370 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 91¢ | 295 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 9¢ | 75 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 9¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 91¢ | 980 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 9¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 8¢ | 547 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 91¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 92¢ | 400 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 8¢ | 97 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 8¢ | 144 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 8¢ | 144 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 8¢ | 30 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 8¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 8¢ | 70 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 92¢ | 70 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 8¢ | 70 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 92¢ | 16 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 8¢ | 34 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 8¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 8¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 8¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 8¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 93¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 51 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 8¢ | 51 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.