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Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

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8 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▼ −0.4%24h▲ +5.5%1W
Yes 8¢No 92¢

Total volume

$154.8K

24h vol.

$4.1K

1w vol.

$37.1K

1m vol.

$72.7K

Liquidity

$22.9K

Bid / Ask

8¢ / 9¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

10¢

Start date

Jun 1, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
8¢$113
7¢$22
7¢$200
7¢$904
7¢$100
7¢$1,056
7¢$851
7¢$217
6¢$1,650
6¢$1,313
Asks (sell)Size
9¢$109
9¢$529
9¢$279
9¢$534
9¢$606
10¢$349
10¢$333
10¢$51
10¢$1,773
10¢$640

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 86%Sells 14%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 hr. agoSell91¢0
5 hr. agoSell9¢0
5 hr. agoSell91¢0
5 hr. agoSell9¢0
14 hr. agoBuy91¢24
14 hr. agoBuy9¢24
14 hr. agoBuy91¢100
14 hr. agoSell91¢49
14 hr. agoBuy9¢51
24 hr. agoBuy10¢757
24 hr. agoBuy90¢660
24 hr. agoBuy90¢47
24 hr. agoBuy90¢50
1 day agoSell90¢483
1 day agoBuy90¢83
1 day agoBuy91¢400
1 day agoBuy10¢83
1 day agoBuy89¢32
1 day agoSell10¢51
1 day agoSell91¢220
1 day agoBuy91¢220
1 day agoBuy9¢483
1 day agoBuy91¢220
1 day agoBuy91¢263
1 day agoBuy9¢370
1 day agoBuy91¢295
1 day agoSell9¢75
1 day agoBuy9¢1,000
1 day agoBuy91¢980
1 day agoSell9¢20
1 day agoBuy8¢547
1 day agoBuy91¢50
1 day agoBuy92¢400
1 day agoSell8¢97
1 day agoBuy8¢144
1 day agoSell8¢144
1 day agoBuy8¢30
1 day agoSell8¢30
2 days agoBuy8¢70
2 days agoBuy92¢70
2 days agoBuy8¢70
2 days agoBuy92¢16
2 days agoSell8¢34
2 days agoSell8¢20
2 days agoBuy8¢20
2 days agoSell8¢20
2 days agoSell8¢0
2 days agoSell93¢0
2 days agoBuy93¢51
2 days agoBuy8¢51

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