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Updated 2 days ago

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?

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19 %

chance

▼ −0.3%1h▲ +0.8%24h▲ +11.8%1W
Yes 19¢No 81¢

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

10 outcomes
See all 10 outcomes

Total volume

$208.2K

24h vol.

$2.1K

1w vol.

$57.3K

1m vol.

$101.8K

Liquidity

$26.8K

Bid / Ask

18¢ / 19¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

19¢

Start date

Jun 1, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
18¢$129
17¢$22
17¢$650
17¢$270
17¢$265
17¢$590
17¢$1,180
16¢$30
16¢$71
16¢$250
Asks (sell)Size
18¢$750
18¢$355
18¢$50
18¢$744
18¢$370
18¢$450
19¢$490
19¢$140
19¢$100
19¢$1,250

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 35%Sells 65%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoBuy83¢99
2 days agoSell83¢99
3 days agoBuy19¢54
3 days agoSell19¢45
3 days agoSell18¢9
3 days agoBuy83¢100
3 days agoSell83¢100
3 days agoBuy82¢10
3 days agoBuy18¢10
3 days agoBuy83¢57
3 days agoSell83¢57
3 days agoBuy82¢100
3 days agoSell83¢65
3 days agoBuy18¢29
3 days agoBuy18¢6
3 days agoBuy82¢134
3 days agoBuy18¢84
3 days agoSell82¢50
3 days agoSell19¢45
3 days agoSell82¢45
3 days agoBuy82¢10
3 days agoSell82¢5
3 days agoBuy18¢5
3 days agoBuy19¢30
3 days agoBuy81¢30
3 days agoBuy83¢10
3 days agoSell83¢10
3 days agoBuy83¢10
3 days agoBuy17¢10
3 days agoBuy83¢10
3 days agoSell83¢10
3 days agoBuy17¢7
3 days agoSell17¢7
3 days agoSell83¢30
3 days agoBuy83¢7
3 days agoBuy83¢23
3 days agoBuy83¢10
3 days agoSell83¢10
3 days agoBuy84¢10
3 days agoBuy16¢10
3 days agoSell81¢540
3 days agoSell19¢540
3 days agoSell81¢50
3 days agoBuy81¢50
3 days agoSell81¢10
3 days agoBuy81¢10
3 days agoSell81¢10
3 days agoBuy81¢10
3 days agoSell83¢40
3 days agoBuy83¢40

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

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