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Updated 17 hr. ago

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
26 %
chance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
10 outcomesTotal volume
$309.1K
24h vol.
$268.99
1w vol.
$84.8K
1m vol.
$220.2K
Liquidity
$37K
Bid / Ask
25¢ / 26¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
25¢
Start date
Jun 1, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 3,432 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 hr. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 10 |
| 20 hr. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 10 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 10 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 10 |
| 21 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 59 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 59 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 25¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 25¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 25¢ | 90 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 25¢ | 90 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 25¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 25¢ | 25 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 75¢ | 25 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 25¢ | 193 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 75¢ | 193 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 25¢ | 44 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 75¢ | 44 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 26¢ | 181 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 26¢ | 181 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 26¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 26¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 26¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 26¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 75¢ | 49 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 75¢ | 49 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 26¢ | 175 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 74¢ | 175 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 26¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 74¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 26¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 74¢ | 31 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 74¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 74¢ | 19 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 28¢ | 2,660 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 27¢ | 141 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 27¢ | 220 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 27¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 27¢ | 90 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 73¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 27¢ | 210 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 27¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 28¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 28¢ | 220 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 28¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 28¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 28¢ | 400 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 28¢ | 49 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 28¢ | 520 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 72¢ | 138 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 28¢ | 26 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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