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Resolved market

US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Result

NO

Final YES price
0%
7 days before
14%
1 day before
1%
Volume
$1.1M

How surprising was this result?

Seven days before the end, the market priced YES at 14%.

Among 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced in the same range, a result like this one happened 90% of the time — the expected outcome.

Prediction market accuracy, measured

This market has resolved and is no longer traded. The figures are the last recorded before the end.