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Resolved market

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Result

NO

Final YES price
0%
7 days before
27%
1 day before
1%
Volume
$3.3M

How surprising was this result?

Seven days before the end, the market priced YES at 27%.

Among 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced in the same range, a result like this one happened 80% of the time — the expected outcome.

Prediction market accuracy, measured

This market has resolved and is no longer traded. The figures are the last recorded before the end.