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Updated 7 hr. ago

54 %
chance
Total volume
$156.8K
24h vol.
$17.1K
1w vol.
$90.5K
1m vol.
$156.8K
Liquidity
$53.3K
Bid / Ask
53¢ / 54¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
55¢
Start date
Jul 13, 2026
End date
Aug 31, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 days ago | Sell | 51¢ | 200 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 51¢ | 200 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 52¢ | 3 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 52¢ | 3 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 53¢ | 15 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 53¢ | 15 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 53¢ | 17 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 53¢ | 17 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 53¢ | 3,000 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 53¢ | 278 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 47¢ | 2,000 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 54¢ | 5 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 46¢ | 27 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 46¢ | 690 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 56¢ | 11 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 44¢ | 11 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 45¢ | 27 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 45¢ | 27 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 45¢ | 205 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 45¢ | 205 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 54¢ | 520 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 46¢ | 310 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 46¢ | 200 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 46¢ | 10 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 45¢ | 200 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 55¢ | 200 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 45¢ | 1,651 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 45¢ | 299 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 45¢ | 23 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 45¢ | 1,000 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 45¢ | 329 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 57¢ | 88 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 43¢ | 58 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 57¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 44¢ | 46 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 44¢ | 16 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 56¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 44¢ | 235 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 44¢ | 5 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 44¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 44¢ | 200 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 43¢ | 89 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 57¢ | 89 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 57¢ | 111 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 57¢ | 111 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 43¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 43¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 43¢ | 111 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 57¢ | 111 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 43¢ | 1,720 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.