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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?

SportsSoccersoccersportsLiga MX
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24 %

chance

▲ +2.0%24h▲ +4.5%1W
Yes 24¢No 77¢

Liga MX: 2026 Apertura Champion

15 outcomes
See all 15 outcomes

Total volume

$13.6K

24h vol.

$968.318

1w vol.

$2.5K

1m vol.

$4.3K

Liquidity

$2.8K

Bid / Ask

23¢ / 24¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

24¢

Start date

Jul 14, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.4% resolved YES. That is 5.3 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
11¢$5
10¢$95
9¢$20
8¢$40
6¢$220
5¢$20
3¢$20
Asks (sell)Size
14¢$31
18¢$14
19¢$2,006
21¢$1,530
24¢$50
32¢$50
33¢$15
49¢$225
50¢$40
51¢$100

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 44%Sells 56%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell15¢50
1 mo. agoSell85¢50
1 mo. agoSell16¢50
1 mo. agoBuy16¢50
1 mo. agoSell16¢50
1 mo. agoBuy16¢50
1 mo. agoSell17¢53
1 mo. agoBuy17¢4
1 mo. agoSell83¢49
1 mo. agoSell17¢53
1 mo. agoBuy16¢7
1 mo. agoBuy17¢46
1 mo. agoSell81¢50
1 mo. agoBuy81¢50
1 mo. agoBuy18¢11
1 mo. agoBuy82¢11
1 mo. agoBuy18¢38
1 mo. agoBuy82¢38
1 mo. agoBuy18¢9
1 mo. agoBuy82¢0
1 mo. agoSell18¢9
1 mo. agoSell15¢177
1 mo. agoSell85¢177
1 mo. agoSell15¢14
1 mo. agoSell85¢14
1 mo. agoSell16¢7
1 mo. agoBuy16¢7
1 mo. agoSell17¢26
1 mo. agoBuy17¢7
1 mo. agoSell83¢19
1 mo. agoSell17¢4
1 mo. agoSell83¢4
1 mo. agoSell17¢14
1 mo. agoSell83¢14
1 mo. agoSell16¢6
1 mo. agoSell84¢6
1 mo. agoSell17¢7
1 mo. agoSell83¢7
1 mo. agoBuy18¢26
1 mo. agoSell18¢4
1 mo. agoBuy82¢22
1 mo. agoBuy18¢28
1 mo. agoBuy82¢28
1 mo. agoBuy18¢106
1 mo. agoSell18¢6
1 mo. agoBuy82¢100
1 mo. agoBuy87¢1
1 mo. agoBuy13¢1
1 mo. agoBuy86¢40
1 mo. agoBuy14¢40

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Underlying asset

How far is the move, really?

Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

Unlock to see the historical frequency and derivatives positioning.

Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature

See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.

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