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Resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Result

NO

Final YES price
0%
7 days before
4%
1 day before
10%
Volume
$543.9K

How surprising was this result?

Seven days before the end, the market priced YES at 4%.

Among 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced in the same range, a result like this one happened 98% of the time — the expected outcome.

Prediction market accuracy, measured

This market has resolved and is no longer traded. The figures are the last recorded before the end.