← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 2 min. ago

84 %
chance
Total volume
$303.1K
24h vol.
$59.1K
1w vol.
$266.7K
1m vol.
$303.1K
Liquidity
$67.5K
Bid / Ask
83¢ / 85¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
84¢
Start date
Jul 27, 2026
End date
Sep 30, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 43 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 43 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 65 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 65 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 825 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 435 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 200 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 190 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 10,209 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 205 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 9,994 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 44 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 44 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 7,000 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 7,000 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 7 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 7 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 2,766 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 216 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 50 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 2,000 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 500 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 506 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 222 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 284 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 201 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 201 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 201 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 101 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 100 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 15 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 15 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 54 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 44 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 11 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 77 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 54 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 23 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 13 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 13 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 377 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 377 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 8 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 8 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 200 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 200 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 23 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.