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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the #2 song for 2026?

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0 %

chance

▼ −0.2%24h▼ −0.4%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

#2 Spotify Song 2026

14 outcomes
See all 14 outcomes

Total volume

$687.966

24h vol.

$262.215

1w vol.

$372.816

1m vol.

$647.986

Liquidity

$1K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jul 29, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$14
0¢$16
1¢$22
1¢$5
1¢$100
1¢$156
3¢$29
5¢$20
72¢$362
73¢$510

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 98%Sells 2%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy100¢30
1 mo. agoBuy0¢30
1 mo. agoBuy100¢85
1 mo. agoBuy0¢85
1 mo. agoBuy100¢52
1 mo. agoBuy0¢51
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1
1 mo. agoBuy100¢50
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1
1 mo. agoBuy0¢49
1 mo. agoBuy100¢25
1 mo. agoBuy0¢20
1 mo. agoBuy0¢5
1 mo. agoSell0¢20
1 mo. agoBuy0¢20
1 mo. agoSell0¢5
1 mo. agoBuy0¢5
1 mo. agoBuy100¢2
1 mo. agoBuy0¢2
1 mo. agoBuy100¢13
1 mo. agoBuy0¢13
1 mo. agoBuy100¢30
1 mo. agoBuy0¢30
1 mo. agoBuy100¢10
1 mo. agoBuy0¢10
1 mo. agoBuy100¢8
1 mo. agoBuy0¢8
1 mo. agoBuy100¢10
1 mo. agoBuy0¢10
1 mo. agoBuy100¢33
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1
1 mo. agoBuy0¢32
2 mo. agoBuy100¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoBuy100¢50
2 mo. agoBuy0¢50
2 mo. agoBuy100¢20
2 mo. agoBuy0¢8
2 mo. agoBuy0¢12
2 mo. agoBuy100¢3
2 mo. agoBuy0¢3
2 mo. agoBuy100¢26
2 mo. agoBuy0¢6
2 mo. agoBuy0¢20
2 mo. agoBuy100¢20
2 mo. agoBuy0¢9
2 mo. agoBuy1¢11
2 mo. agoBuy100¢40
2 mo. agoBuy0¢40
2 mo. agoBuy0¢0

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.