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Updated 28 min. ago

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$3.1M

24h vol.

$100K

1w vol.

$427.5K

1m vol.

$1.1M

Liquidity

$404.6K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Sep 22, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$119,342
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$150,396
0¢$22,758
0¢$36,199
1¢$60,503
1¢$925
1¢$5,800
1¢$5,000
1¢$5,000
1¢$7,010
1¢$713

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 58%Sells 42%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
36 min. agoBuy100¢161
36 min. agoBuy0¢161
36 min. agoBuy100¢8
36 min. agoBuy0¢8
36 min. agoBuy100¢20
36 min. agoBuy0¢20
36 min. agoBuy100¢25
36 min. agoBuy0¢25
44 min. agoSell0¢400
44 min. agoBuy0¢400
46 min. agoSell0¢400
46 min. agoBuy0¢400
1 hr. agoSell0¢400
1 hr. agoBuy0¢400
1 hr. agoSell100¢1
1 hr. agoSell0¢1
2 hr. agoSell0¢500
2 hr. agoBuy0¢500
2 hr. agoBuy100¢10
2 hr. agoBuy0¢10
2 hr. agoBuy100¢20
2 hr. agoBuy0¢20
2 hr. agoSell0¢400
2 hr. agoBuy0¢400
2 hr. agoSell0¢400
2 hr. agoBuy0¢400
2 hr. agoSell100¢1
2 hr. agoSell0¢1
3 hr. agoSell0¢400
3 hr. agoBuy0¢400
3 hr. agoSell0¢400
3 hr. agoBuy0¢400
3 hr. agoSell0¢400
3 hr. agoBuy0¢400
3 hr. agoBuy0¢500
3 hr. agoSell0¢128
3 hr. agoSell0¢110
3 hr. agoSell0¢105
3 hr. agoSell0¢157
4 hr. agoSell0¢394
4 hr. agoBuy0¢394
4 hr. agoSell0¢600
4 hr. agoBuy0¢600
4 hr. agoBuy100¢116
4 hr. agoBuy0¢116
4 hr. agoBuy100¢181
4 hr. agoBuy0¢181
4 hr. agoBuy100¢484
4 hr. agoBuy0¢484
4 hr. agoSell100¢2

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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