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Updated 2 min. ago

79 %
chance
Total volume
$457.6K
24h vol.
$151.7K
1w vol.
$220.9K
1m vol.
$457.6K
Liquidity
$35.6K
Bid / Ask
78¢ / 80¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
80¢
Start date
Aug 7, 2026
End date
Sep 30, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 8 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 6 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 2 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 8 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 8 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 2,872 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 79 |
| 10 min. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 37 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 15 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 200 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 100 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 227 |
| 10 min. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 7 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 400 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 10 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 100 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 5 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 154 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 200 |
| 10 min. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 10 |
| 10 min. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 9 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 5 |
| 10 min. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 10 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 27 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 1,000 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 200 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 5 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 70 |
| 16 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 200 |
| 16 min. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 200 |
| 16 min. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 30 |
| 16 min. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 30 |
| 17 min. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 5 |
| 17 min. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 5 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 7 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 7 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 10 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 10 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 6 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 6 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 116 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 116 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 18 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 18 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 14 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 14 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 109 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 109 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 3,799 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 2,419 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.