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Resolved market

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Result

YES

Final YES price
100%
7 days before
25%
1 day before
17%
Volume
$216.7K

How surprising was this result?

Seven days before the end, the market priced YES at 25%.

Among 154 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced in the same range, a result like this one happened 20% of the time — roughly one in 5.

Prediction market accuracy, measured

This market has resolved and is no longer traded. The figures are the last recorded before the end.