Culture prediction market odds
Awards, charts, casting and the occasional genuinely unhinged question. Volumes are smaller here, which cuts both ways: the crowd is less informed, and the odds move further on less money.
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026Harry Kane68 %19 outcomes$47.2MMLB: 2026 NL MVPPete Crow-Armstrong99 %8 outcomes$1.1MOscars 2027: Best Picture WinnerThe Odyssey47 %27 outcomes$418.7KPro Football: 2026 MVP WinnerJosh Allen30 %29 outcomes$1.3MNext James Bond actor?No Bond chosen39 %24 outcomes$1.5MElon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?260-27912 %30 outcomes$78.8K#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?Lindsay Clancy23 %46 outcomes$342.8K#2 Spotify Song 2026Babydoll – Dominic Fike79 %14 outcomes$120.4KNHL Hart Memorial Trophy WinnerConnor McDavid44 %118 outcomes$33.6K"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?150 - 160m94 %7 outcomes$256.3K#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?Dolly Parton55 %25 outcomes$138K# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?120M+99 %7 outcomes$37.1KWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?182 %6 outcomes$3.8MMLS: 2026 Golden Boot WinnerLionel Messi96 %24 outcomes$978.1KOscars 2027: Best International Feature Film WinnerThe Black Ball72 %15 outcomes$45.8KTop Spotify Song 2026End of Beginning – Djo83 %10 outcomes$222KMLB: AL Platinum Glove WinnerBobby Witt Jr.24 %16 outcomes$411.9KGolden Joystick Awards: Ultimate Game of the Year WinnerResident Evil Requiem55 %18 outcomes$6.4K#2 Spotify Artist in October?Rihanna57 %14 outcomes$34KDancing with the Stars S35: Winner?Ezra Frech57 %16 outcomes$79.5K
By date & threshold
Events where the outcomes build on each other rather than compete — cumulative odds by deadline or by threshold.
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations The Odyssey97 %22 outcomes$115.1KWho will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Jay Z62 %13 outcomes$81.8KBallon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026Harry Kane97 %19 outcomes$509.1KWho will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Rodri99 %14 outcomes$67.2KWho will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?Saudi Arabia24 %10 outcomes$120.4KBallon d'Or Top 2 Finish 2026Harry Kane94 %30 outcomes$42.5KOscars 2027: Best Original Score NominationsThe Odyssey94 %12 outcomes$22.7KTIME Person of the Year 2026Zohran Mamdani28 %28 outcomes$136.7KOscars 2027: Best Sound NominationsDune: Part Three90 %14 outcomes$13.4KTaylor Swift daily view count hits ___ in October?↑26M3 %4 outcomes$22.7KBallon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026Harry Kane99 %19 outcomes$207.9KOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay NominationsWild Horse Nine92 %18 outcomes$16.9KWho will announce Presidential run before 2027?Pete Buttigieg53 %69 outcomes$1.2MOscars 2027: Best Production Design NominationsDune: Part Three86 %11 outcomes$8.9KWho will Trump publicly insult by October 31?Kaitlan Collins88 %25 outcomes$67.6KWho will announce Presidential run before 2028?Andy Beshear89 %66 outcomes$117.8KOscars 2027: Best Actress NominationsJulianne Moore96 %26 outcomes$21.4KOscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film NominationsNAZA86 %10 outcomes$10.6KOscars 2027: Best Film Editing NominationsThe Odyssey85 %13 outcomes$8.4KWill Trump publicly insult someone on...?October 2698 %13 outcomes$25.8K
Frequently asked questions
- Which culture markets are worth watching?
- Awards seasons and chart outcomes, where a scheduled resolution date concentrates attention and volume. Outside those windows the field thins out fast.
- Why do culture odds move so much?
- Because the money is small. A market that takes a few thousand dollars to move is a market where one confident trader sets the price — which cuts both ways: less informed, but also less efficient.
Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Nothing on Market Guy is financial advice — it is research tooling to help you think, not a signal to trade.