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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?

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7 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▲ +1.3%24h▲ +5.1%1W
Yes 7¢No 93¢

Total volume

$7.3K

24h vol.

$396.84

1w vol.

$2.4K

1m vol.

$3.3K

Liquidity

$5.4K

Bid / Ask

5¢ / 9¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

8¢

Start date

Aug 19, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$77
1¢$1,548
1¢$1,996
1¢$5,000
0¢$3,524
0¢$16,644
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$30
7¢$13
9¢$10
9¢$20
11¢$75
12¢$8
12¢$70
12¢$9
12¢$5
14¢$10

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 70%Sells 30%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy97¢5
1 mo. agoBuy3¢5
1 mo. agoBuy97¢50
1 mo. agoBuy3¢20
1 mo. agoBuy3¢30
1 mo. agoBuy97¢20
1 mo. agoBuy3¢20
1 mo. agoBuy97¢6
1 mo. agoBuy3¢6
1 mo. agoBuy3¢579
1 mo. agoSell3¢179
1 mo. agoBuy97¢80
1 mo. agoBuy97¢80
1 mo. agoSell3¢201
1 mo. agoSell3¢30
1 mo. agoSell3¢5
1 mo. agoBuy97¢5
1 mo. agoSell1¢50
1 mo. agoBuy1¢50
1 mo. agoSell1¢40
1 mo. agoBuy1¢40
1 mo. agoSell1¢5
1 mo. agoBuy1¢5
1 mo. agoBuy99¢6
1 mo. agoBuy1¢6
1 mo. agoBuy99¢23
1 mo. agoBuy1¢23
1 mo. agoBuy99¢5
1 mo. agoBuy1¢5
1 mo. agoBuy97¢79
1 mo. agoBuy3¢49
1 mo. agoBuy3¢30
1 mo. agoSell3¢30
1 mo. agoBuy3¢30
1 mo. agoBuy97¢40
1 mo. agoBuy3¢40
1 mo. agoSell3¢314
1 mo. agoBuy3¢314
1 mo. agoBuy97¢10
1 mo. agoBuy3¢10
1 mo. agoBuy97¢140
1 mo. agoBuy3¢140
1 mo. agoBuy97¢10
1 mo. agoBuy3¢10
1 mo. agoBuy3¢13
1 mo. agoSell3¢13
1 mo. agoSell3¢2
1 mo. agoBuy3¢2
1 mo. agoBuy98¢8
1 mo. agoBuy2¢8

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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