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Updated 4 hr. ago

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?

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45 %

chance

▲ +0.3%1h▲ +4.6%24h▲ +39.6%1W
Yes 45¢No 55¢

Total volume

$26.6K

24h vol.

$3.8K

1w vol.

$13.1K

1m vol.

$14.6K

Liquidity

$2.9K

Bid / Ask

43¢ / 46¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

40¢

Start date

Aug 19, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
43¢$104
43¢$100
43¢$155
43¢$51
40¢$50
37¢$50
37¢$16
36¢$24
35¢$37
35¢$20
Asks (sell)Size
46¢$30
46¢$100
46¢$55
46¢$101
47¢$63
47¢$102
48¢$50
50¢$85
50¢$377
55¢$15

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 58%Sells 42%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
8 hr. agoBuy60¢50
8 hr. agoSell60¢50
11 hr. agoBuy56¢80
11 hr. agoSell56¢50
11 hr. agoSell56¢30
13 hr. agoSell55¢5
13 hr. agoBuy55¢5
13 hr. agoBuy55¢65
13 hr. agoSell55¢65
14 hr. agoBuy39¢819
14 hr. agoBuy61¢50
14 hr. agoBuy61¢50
14 hr. agoBuy61¢50
14 hr. agoBuy61¢100
14 hr. agoBuy61¢218
14 hr. agoBuy61¢70
14 hr. agoSell38¢101
14 hr. agoBuy62¢50
14 hr. agoBuy62¢100
14 hr. agoBuy62¢30
14 hr. agoBuy40¢218
14 hr. agoBuy60¢148
14 hr. agoBuy60¢70
14 hr. agoBuy40¢50
14 hr. agoBuy60¢50
15 hr. agoSell40¢6
15 hr. agoBuy40¢6
15 hr. agoBuy60¢10
15 hr. agoBuy40¢10
15 hr. agoSell40¢46
15 hr. agoBuy40¢16
15 hr. agoBuy40¢30
19 hr. agoBuy44¢46
19 hr. agoBuy56¢46
19 hr. agoSell56¢4
19 hr. agoBuy56¢4
19 hr. agoSell44¢50
19 hr. agoSell56¢20
19 hr. agoSell56¢30
19 hr. agoSell48¢1,084
19 hr. agoSell55¢73
19 hr. agoSell54¢88
19 hr. agoSell54¢100
19 hr. agoSell54¢10
19 hr. agoBuy47¢50
19 hr. agoBuy47¢127
19 hr. agoSell53¢100
19 hr. agoBuy48¢50
19 hr. agoSell52¢100
19 hr. agoBuy48¢63

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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