← Dashboard · Tech
Updated 4 hr. ago

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?
45 %
chance
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$26.6K
24h vol.
$3.8K
1w vol.
$13.1K
1m vol.
$14.6K
Liquidity
$2.9K
Bid / Ask
43¢ / 46¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
40¢
Start date
Aug 19, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 3¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 50 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 50 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 80 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 50 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 30 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 55¢ | 5 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 5 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 65 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 55¢ | 65 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 819 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 50 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 50 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 50 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 100 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 218 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 70 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 101 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 50 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 100 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 30 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 218 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 148 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 70 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 50 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 50 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 6 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 6 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 10 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 10 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 46 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 16 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 30 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 46 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 46 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 4 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 4 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 50 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 20 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 30 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 48¢ | 1,084 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 55¢ | 73 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 88 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 100 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 10 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 50 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 127 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 100 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 50 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 52¢ | 100 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 63 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.