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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Grêmio be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?

SportssportsSoccersoccerBrazil Serie A
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65 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▼ −4.0%24h▼ −1.5%1W
Yes 65¢No 36¢

Brazil Série A: Teams relegated (2026)

18 outcomes

Total volume

$1.2K

24h vol.

$40

1w vol.

$564.794

1m vol.

$879.812

Liquidity

$179.885

Bid / Ask

52¢ / 77¢

Spread 25¢

Last trade

61¢

Start date

Aug 24, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,434 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 6¢
Bids (buy)Size
39¢$20
34¢$40
25¢$31
10¢$21
5¢$85
4¢$55
3¢$100
2¢$30
1¢$55
Asks (sell)Size
45¢$20
65¢$400
77¢$20
79¢$20
90¢$21
93¢$25
94¢$10
96¢$55
97¢$20
99¢$55

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (20)

Buys 90%Sells 10%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoBuy43¢42
4 wk. agoBuy57¢22
4 wk. agoBuy57¢20
1 mo. agoBuy58¢9
1 mo. agoSell58¢9
1 mo. agoSell68¢20
1 mo. agoBuy68¢20
1 mo. agoSell74¢20
1 mo. agoBuy74¢20
1 mo. agoBuy26¢208
1 mo. agoBuy73¢21
1 mo. agoBuy74¢20
1 mo. agoBuy74¢20
1 mo. agoBuy74¢20
1 mo. agoBuy74¢127
1 mo. agoBuy25¢20
1 mo. agoSell25¢20
1 mo. agoBuy81¢37
1 mo. agoBuy19¢17
1 mo. agoBuy19¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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