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Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Arsenal reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?
79 %
chance
UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 quarters
27 outcomes- Barcelona87 %
- Arsenal79 %
- Paris Saint-Germain77 %
- Real Madrid74 %
- Bayern Munich66 %
- Liverpool50 %
- Aston Villa46 %
- Inter Milan42 %
- Atlético Madrid35 %
- Manchester United32 %
- Borussia Dortmund28 %
- Bodø/Glimt23 %
- Napoli22 %
- Sporting CP20 %
- Roma18 %
- PSV Eindhoven16 %
- RB Leipzig14 %
- Lens14 %
- Como13 %
- Galatasaray12 %
- Villarreal12 %
- Slavia Prague10 %
- Fenerbahçe5 %
- Shakhtar Donetsk4 %
- Viking3 %
- Slovan Bratislava2 %
- Sabah1 %
Total volume
$593
24h vol.
$265
1w vol.
$265
1m vol.
$593
Liquidity
$3.1K
Bid / Ask
78¢ / 80¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
78¢
Start date
Sep 2, 2026
End date
Mar 20, 2027
ends in 5 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,561 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 67.1% resolved YES. That is 5.6 points less often than their average price of 72.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (10)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 60 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 60 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 105 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 105 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 58 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 58 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 105 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 25 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 60 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
◆ Underlying asset
How far is the move, really?
Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
Unlock to see the historical frequency and derivatives positioning.
Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature
See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.
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