Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 1 mo. ago

LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?

LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Other
Log in for watchlist

0 %

chance

▼ −63.4%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

How surprising was this result?

Seven days before the end, the market priced YES at 4%.

Among 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced in the same range, a result like this one happened 98% of the time — the expected outcome.

Prediction market accuracy, measured

Total volume

$1.6M

24h vol.

$439.8K

1w vol.

$1.6M

1m vol.

$1.6M

Liquidity

$193.1K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Sep 7, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

trading closed

Failed to load orderbook: Upstream request failed (404) for https://clob.polymarket.com/book?token_id=61390592850270337395152365537110100248925581337331717658494521703236806034725

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 56%Sells 44%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell100¢993
1 mo. agoBuy100¢993
1 mo. agoSell100¢503
1 mo. agoBuy100¢503
1 mo. agoSell100¢714
1 mo. agoBuy100¢714
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1,960
1 mo. agoBuy100¢1,960
1 mo. agoSell100¢51
1 mo. agoBuy100¢51
1 mo. agoSell100¢1,111
1 mo. agoBuy100¢1,111
1 mo. agoSell100¢12
1 mo. agoBuy100¢12
1 mo. agoBuy0¢5,000
1 mo. agoBuy100¢5,000
1 mo. agoSell100¢23
1 mo. agoBuy100¢23
1 mo. agoSell100¢3,763
1 mo. agoBuy100¢1,086
1 mo. agoSell0¢1,000
1 mo. agoSell0¢1,677
1 mo. agoSell100¢3
1 mo. agoSell0¢3
1 mo. agoSell100¢7
1 mo. agoSell0¢7
1 mo. agoSell100¢1,282
1 mo. agoSell0¢312
1 mo. agoSell0¢333
1 mo. agoSell0¢179
1 mo. agoSell0¢100
1 mo. agoSell0¢10
1 mo. agoSell0¢5
1 mo. agoBuy100¢342
1 mo. agoSell100¢395
1 mo. agoBuy100¢395
1 mo. agoSell100¢2
1 mo. agoBuy100¢2
1 mo. agoBuy100¢21,577
1 mo. agoSell100¢17,412
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1,000
1 mo. agoSell100¢204
1 mo. agoSell100¢1,104
1 mo. agoSell100¢1,751
1 mo. agoBuy0¢107
1 mo. agoBuy100¢100
1 mo. agoBuy0¢68
1 mo. agoSell100¢32
1 mo. agoBuy100¢39
1 mo. agoBuy0¢39

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.