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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Palmeiras win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?

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25 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▼ −0.8%24h▲ +2.5%1W
Yes 25¢No 75¢

Copa Libertadores 2027 Winner

20 outcomes
See all 20 outcomes

Total volume

$676.044

24h vol.

$13.05

1w vol.

$390.844

1m vol.

$636.044

Liquidity

$6K

Bid / Ask

24¢ / 26¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

26¢

Start date

Sep 9, 2026

End date

Dec 15, 2027

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.4% resolved YES. That is 5.3 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
23¢$180
23¢$380
23¢$40
23¢$20
23¢$579
22¢$80
22¢$104
20¢$400
19¢$62
10¢$21
Asks (sell)Size
24¢$940
24¢$855
24¢$20
24¢$20
25¢$104
25¢$159
25¢$10,200
26¢$22
26¢$20
27¢$200

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (19)

Buys 78%Sells 22%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoSell77¢20
2 wk. agoBuy77¢20
2 wk. agoBuy23¢20
2 wk. agoBuy77¢20
2 wk. agoSell77¢20
2 wk. agoBuy77¢20
2 wk. agoBuy10¢20
2 wk. agoBuy90¢20
2 wk. agoBuy10¢20
2 wk. agoBuy90¢20
2 wk. agoBuy8¢40
2 wk. agoSell8¢20
2 wk. agoSell8¢20
3 wk. agoBuy99¢5
3 wk. agoBuy1¢5
1 mo. agoBuy94¢20
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy91¢20
1 mo. agoBuy9¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Underlying asset

How far is the move, really?

Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

Unlock to see the historical frequency and derivatives positioning.

Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature

See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.

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