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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

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46 %

chance

▼ −2.0%24h▲ +5.5%1W
Yes 46¢No 54¢

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

21 outcomes
See all 21 outcomes

Total volume

$63K

24h vol.

$346.32

1w vol.

$3.3K

1m vol.

$62.5K

Liquidity

$9.8K

Bid / Ask

45¢ / 46¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

47¢

Start date

Sep 18, 2026

End date

Dec 1, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
38¢$30
37¢$1,434
36¢$315
35¢$76
33¢$100
32¢$100
31¢$105
30¢$561
29¢$2,027
28¢$278
Asks (sell)Size
40¢$275
41¢$44
42¢$250
43¢$651
44¢$1,859
45¢$316
46¢$725
47¢$2,163
48¢$200
49¢$958

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 48%Sells 52%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 wk. agoSell61¢50
1 wk. agoBuy61¢15
1 wk. agoBuy61¢30
1 wk. agoBuy61¢5
1 wk. agoSell63¢10
1 wk. agoBuy63¢10
1 wk. agoBuy62¢7
1 wk. agoSell62¢7
1 wk. agoSell62¢10
1 wk. agoSell38¢10
1 wk. agoBuy37¢405
1 wk. agoSell38¢184
1 wk. agoBuy62¢28
1 wk. agoBuy64¢83
1 wk. agoSell36¢100
1 wk. agoSell35¢10
1 wk. agoBuy38¢66
1 wk. agoBuy62¢50
1 wk. agoSell38¢16
1 wk. agoBuy29¢90
1 wk. agoSell29¢49
1 wk. agoSell29¢41
1 wk. agoSell19¢2,455
1 wk. agoBuy15¢10
1 wk. agoBuy16¢1,064
1 wk. agoBuy17¢239
1 wk. agoBuy20¢200
1 wk. agoBuy20¢50
1 wk. agoBuy20¢150
1 wk. agoBuy20¢100
1 wk. agoBuy21¢113
1 wk. agoBuy24¢100
1 wk. agoSell74¢345
1 wk. agoBuy26¢44
1 wk. agoSell68¢40
1 wk. agoSell32¢100
1 wk. agoBuy32¢100
1 wk. agoSell36¢500
1 wk. agoBuy35¢49
1 wk. agoBuy35¢120
1 wk. agoSell65¢40
1 wk. agoBuy35¢25
1 wk. agoBuy36¢41
1 wk. agoBuy36¢200
1 wk. agoBuy36¢25
1 wk. agoBuy66¢20
1 wk. agoBuy34¢10
1 wk. agoBuy34¢10
1 wk. agoBuy63¢99
1 wk. agoBuy37¢99

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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