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Updated 4 days ago

Kraken vs. Lightning

Kraken vs. Lightning

Sports
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0 %

chance

▼ −16.5%1h▼ −30.5%24h▼ −34.4%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

How surprising was this result?

Seven days before the end, the market priced YES at 35%.

Among 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced in the same range, a result like this one happened 69% of the time — the expected outcome.

Prediction market accuracy, measured

Total volume

$113K

24h vol.

$99.8K

1w vol.

$113K

1m vol.

$113K

Liquidity

$312.5K

Bid / Ask

11¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Sep 18, 2026

End date

Oct 15, 2026

trading closed

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
11¢$3,034
10¢$4,411
9¢$1,761
8¢$49
7¢$112
6¢$10
5¢$20
4¢$814
3¢$1,629
2¢$4,192
Asks (sell)Size
12¢$1,469
13¢$2,260
14¢$2,232
15¢$230
16¢$722
17¢$38
18¢$189
19¢$25
21¢$1,599
22¢$1,875

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 99%Sells 1%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 days agoSell19¢5
4 days agoBuy19¢5
4 days agoBuy14¢50
4 days agoBuy86¢25
4 days agoBuy86¢25
4 days agoBuy13¢25
4 days agoBuy87¢25
4 days agoBuy20¢494
4 days agoBuy77¢12
4 days agoBuy77¢20
4 days agoBuy78¢71
4 days agoBuy78¢54
4 days agoBuy80¢117
4 days agoBuy81¢10
4 days agoBuy81¢210
4 days agoBuy84¢291
4 days agoBuy15¢20
4 days agoSell85¢12
4 days agoBuy15¢113
4 days agoBuy17¢41
4 days agoBuy17¢100
4 days agoBuy33¢5
4 days agoBuy39¢46
4 days agoBuy61¢19
4 days agoBuy61¢27
4 days agoBuy39¢18
4 days agoBuy61¢18
4 days agoBuy64¢49
4 days agoBuy36¢49
4 days agoBuy38¢48
4 days agoBuy62¢3
4 days agoBuy62¢45
4 days agoBuy34¢142
4 days agoBuy65¢5
4 days agoBuy66¢137
4 days agoBuy63¢14
4 days agoBuy37¢14
4 days agoBuy37¢30
4 days agoBuy63¢30
4 days agoBuy37¢3
4 days agoBuy63¢3
4 days agoBuy37¢27
4 days agoBuy63¢10
4 days agoBuy63¢17
4 days agoBuy60¢15
4 days agoBuy40¢15
4 days agoBuy60¢14
4 days agoBuy40¢14
4 days agoBuy60¢10
4 days agoBuy40¢10

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Underlying asset

How far is the move, really?

Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

Unlock to see the historical frequency and derivatives positioning.

Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature

See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.

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Game page: Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning — schedule, venue and AI match scan

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