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Updated 4 min. ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?
77 %
chance
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
21 outcomesTotal volume
$434.4K
24h vol.
$24.5K
1w vol.
$160.4K
1m vol.
$434.4K
Liquidity
$30.6K
Bid / Ask
76¢ / 78¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
74¢
Start date
Sep 25, 2026
End date
Nov 1, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 min. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 50 |
| 5 min. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 50 |
| 23 min. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 200 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 200 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 41 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 41 |
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 22 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 22 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 4 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 4 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 13 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 13 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 100 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 100 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 37 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 37 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 68 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 68 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 273 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 173 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 410 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 32 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 36 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 20 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 101 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 21 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 85 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 85 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 4 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 4 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 21 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 21 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 180 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 73 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 107 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 19 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 19 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 168 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 83 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 84 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 11 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 11 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 6 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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