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Updated 1 day ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?
73 %
chance
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
21 outcomesTotal volume
$25.1K
24h vol.
$5.8K
1w vol.
$25.1K
1m vol.
$25.1K
Liquidity
$29.5K
Bid / Ask
72¢ / 74¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
75¢
Start date
Oct 15, 2026
End date
Nov 1, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 3¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day ago | Buy | 63¢ | 11 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 37¢ | 11 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 61¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 61¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 61¢ | 236 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 236 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 60¢ | 13 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 13 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 57¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 43¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 60¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 40¢ | 12 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 12 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 43¢ | 12 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 57¢ | 12 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 60¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 61¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 61¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 60¢ | 227 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 40¢ | 227 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 61¢ | 7 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 61¢ | 7 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 61¢ | 9,993 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 9,993 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 61¢ | 7 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 7 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 60¢ | 673 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 60¢ | 14 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 60¢ | 559 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 59¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 41¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 59¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 41¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 59¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 41¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 60¢ | 230 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 60¢ | 230 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 60¢ | 225 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 60¢ | 211 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 60¢ | 14 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 59¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 41¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 59¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 41¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 43¢ | 47 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 56¢ | 16 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 57¢ | 11 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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