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Updated 2 days ago

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-17?

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-17?

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100 %

chance

▲ +0.3%1h▲ +19.5%24h▲ +22.0%1W
Yes 100¢No 0¢

How surprising was this result?

Seven days before the end, the market priced YES at 79%.

Among 1,561 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced in the same range, a result like this one happened 67% of the time — the expected outcome.

Prediction market accuracy, measured

Total volume

$307.9K

24h vol.

$304.5K

1w vol.

$306.7K

1m vol.

$307.9K

Liquidity

$187K

Bid / Ask

100¢ / 100¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

100¢

Start date

Oct 4, 2026

End date

Oct 17, 2026

trading closed

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size
100¢$202,501
99¢$100
99¢$577
99¢$11,415
97¢$190
96¢$20
96¢$888
90¢$10
78¢$11,163
78¢$250
Asks (sell)Size

No orders

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 51%Sells 49%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell100¢51
2 days agoBuy100¢29
2 days agoBuy100¢22
2 days agoSell100¢19
2 days agoBuy100¢19
2 days agoSell100¢45
2 days agoBuy100¢45
2 days agoSell100¢625
2 days agoBuy100¢625
2 days agoSell100¢2
2 days agoBuy100¢2
2 days agoSell100¢1
2 days agoBuy100¢1
2 days agoSell100¢1,935
2 days agoBuy100¢1,286
2 days agoBuy100¢649
2 days agoSell100¢99
2 days agoBuy100¢99
2 days agoSell100¢685
2 days agoBuy100¢685
2 days agoSell100¢2
2 days agoBuy100¢2
2 days agoSell100¢61
2 days agoBuy100¢61
2 days agoSell100¢1,900
2 days agoBuy100¢1,900
2 days agoSell100¢13
2 days agoBuy100¢13
2 days agoBuy0¢12
2 days agoBuy100¢12
2 days agoSell100¢5
2 days agoBuy100¢5
2 days agoSell100¢1
2 days agoBuy100¢1
2 days agoBuy0¢54
2 days agoBuy100¢54
2 days agoBuy0¢40
2 days agoBuy100¢40
2 days agoSell100¢2,000
2 days agoBuy100¢2,000
2 days agoSell100¢3
2 days agoBuy100¢3
2 days agoSell100¢25
2 days agoBuy100¢25
2 days agoSell100¢5
2 days agoBuy100¢5
2 days agoSell100¢2
2 days agoBuy100¢2
2 days agoSell100¢6
2 days agoBuy100¢6

◆ Smart money

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This market on Kalshi

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Underlying asset

How far is the move, really?

Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

Unlock to see the historical frequency and derivatives positioning.

Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature

See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.

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Game page: RB Leipzig at Bayern Munich — schedule, venue and AI match scan

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