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Updated 23 min. ago

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?
71 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 19.6 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 98% on Oct 21, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 32 buys, 18 sells; the largest was $449 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 69% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% one day before the end resolved YES (3,000 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 21 hr. (Oct 25, 2026).
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✦ AI assessment
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Bitcoin above ___ on October 25?
11 outcomesTotal volume
$40.3K
24h vol.
$22.5K
1w vol.
$40.4K
1m vol.
$40.4K
Liquidity
$41.8K
Bid / Ask
70¢ / 71¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
65¢
Start date
Oct 18, 2026
End date
Oct 25, 2026
ends in 21 hr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 3,000 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% one day before resolution, 69.1% resolved YES. That is 4.1 points less often than their average price of 73.2% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 min. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 38 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 15 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 6 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 8 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 4 |
| 54 min. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 55 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 61¢ | 16 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 16 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 35 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 162 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 32 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 57¢ | 17 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 17 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 614 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 114 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 75 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 55¢ | 47 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 114 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 34 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 58¢ | 16 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 17 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 57¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 57¢ | 46 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 8 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 428 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 57¢ | 12 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 57¢ | 12 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 17 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 35 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 184 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 58 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 55¢ | 11 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 18 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 57¢ | 420 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 30 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 90 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 22 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 14 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 6 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 3 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 745 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 6 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 5 |
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