← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 27 min. ago
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
3 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 50 trades: 24 buys, 26 sells; the largest was $17.5K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (460 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).
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Total volume
$24.5M
24h vol.
$41.2K
1w vol.
$371.2K
1m vol.
$1.4M
Liquidity
$205.1K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 3¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
3¢
Start date
Jan 11, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 460 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+There is a current smart-money reading on this market: how the wallets whose record holds up are positioned.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 7 |
| 46 min. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 150 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 350 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 1,121 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 28 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 2,811 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 344 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 858 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 155 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 7 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 7 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 5 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 6 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 48 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 10 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 700 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 3,725 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 2,805 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 325 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 1,000 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 825 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 24 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 2 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 500 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 92 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 315 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 2,474 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 70 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 300 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 137 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 200 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 40 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 200 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 18,148 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 1,145 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 1,220 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 130 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 357 |
| 23 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 376 |
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