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Updated 33 min. ago

Florence: Francesco Forti vs Oriol Roca Batalla
25 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 27.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 53% on Oct 22, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 21 buys, 29 sells; the largest was $429 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 31% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (2,984 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 6 days (Oct 30, 2026).
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Florence: Francesco Forti vs Oriol Roca Batalla
3 outcomes- Completed Match50 %
- Florence: Francesco Forti vs Oriol Roca Batalla25 %
- Florence: Francesco Forti vs Oriol Roca Batalla Set Handicap +/-1.51 %
Total volume
$138K
24h vol.
$137.5K
1w vol.
$138K
1m vol.
$138K
Liquidity
$3.9K
Bid / Ask
24¢ / 26¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
23¢
Start date
Oct 22, 2026
End date
Oct 30, 2026
ends in 6 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 2,984 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.2% resolved YES. That is 5.1 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+There is a current smart-money reading on this market: how the wallets whose record holds up are positioned.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 98 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 65 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 70 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 300 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 98 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 500 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 28 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 13 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 172 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 165 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 1 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 2 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 1 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 11 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 11 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 160 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 1 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 30 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 26 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 6 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 2 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 80 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 40 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 19 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 6 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 1,949 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 19 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 13 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 3 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 45 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 6 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 26 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 5 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 3 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 80 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 6 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 19 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 31 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 2 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 4 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 29 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 26 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 6 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 172 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 28 |
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