Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Market brief

• Up 53.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 28% on Oct 23, 2026.
• Last 50 trades: 26 buys, 24 sells; the largest was $1.15K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
• Historically, 67% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 65–85% seven days before the end resolved YES (1,617 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 7 days (Oct 31, 2026).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,617 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 67.4% resolved YES. That is 5.3 points less often than their average price of 72.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
• Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
• Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.

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