Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?

Market brief

• Up 41.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 51% on Oct 23, 2026.
• Last 50 trades: 22 buys, 28 sells; the largest was $2.05K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
• Historically, 85% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% one day before the end resolved YES (830 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 14 hr. (Oct 25, 2026).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 830 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% one day before resolution, 85.1% resolved YES. That is 4.9 points less often than their average price of 89.9% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
• Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.

Related markets

The most-traded open Crypto markets from other events.

• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?40 %▲ +4.0%
• Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?4 %▼ −3.2%
• Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 24?1 %▲ +0.0%
• Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?11 %▼ −2.0%
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?3 %▼ −0.5%
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?99 %▲ +0.9%

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