Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in November?

Market brief

• Up 21.5 pp over the past week (+29.0 pp in the last 24 hours), after dipping to 46% on Oct 25, 2026.
• Historically, 68% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before the end resolved YES (2,140 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 4 wk. (Dec 1, 2026).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 2,140 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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