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Updated 54 min. ago

Guayaquil: Gonzalo Bueno vs Alex Barrena
100 %
chance
Market brief
- Up 53.4 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 33% on Oct 27, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 33 buys, 17 sells; the largest was $3.1K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 96% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 95–100% seven days before the end resolved YES (184 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 2, 2026).
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✦ AI assessment
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Total volume
$125.9K
24h vol.
$125.8K
1w vol.
$126K
1m vol.
$126K
Liquidity
$128.2K
Bid / Ask
100¢ / 100¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
100¢
Start date
Oct 25, 2026
End date
Nov 2, 2026
ends in 6 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 184 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 96.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 min. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 58 min. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 154 |
| 59 min. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 59 min. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 32 |
| 60 min. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 330 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 255 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 680 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 3,409 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 53 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 153 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 11 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 11 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 13 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 241 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 30 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 83 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 115 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 80 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 132 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 2 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 28 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 11 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 3,409 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 226 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 226 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 23 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 1 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 495 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 329 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 221 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 337 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 1,123 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 2,307 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 3 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 833 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 6,075 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 1,348 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 118 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 33 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 10 |
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