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Updated 12 min. ago

Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Politics
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22 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −4.5%1W
Yes 22¢No 79¢

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

5 outcomes
See all 5 outcomes

Total volume

$141.1K

24h vol.

$31.7K

1w vol.

$62.2K

1m vol.

$98.8K

Liquidity

$59.1K

Bid / Ask

21¢ / 22¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

22¢

Start date

Apr 29, 2026

End date

Oct 28, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
21¢$3,736
20¢$324
19¢$1,353
18¢$210
17¢$600
16¢$1,800
12¢$980
11¢$2,146
10¢$4,500
8¢$70
Asks (sell)Size
22¢$41
23¢$2,916
24¢$4,211
25¢$250
27¢$140
28¢$1,842
29¢$2,085
30¢$1,570
31¢$953
32¢$1,870

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 58%Sells 42%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 hr. agoBuy22¢23
1 hr. agoBuy78¢23
1 hr. agoBuy22¢136
1 hr. agoBuy78¢136
2 hr. agoBuy22¢23
2 hr. agoBuy78¢23
2 hr. agoBuy79¢66
2 hr. agoBuy21¢66
2 hr. agoBuy79¢28
2 hr. agoBuy21¢28
2 hr. agoBuy79¢15
2 hr. agoBuy21¢15
2 hr. agoBuy22¢104
2 hr. agoSell23¢9
2 hr. agoBuy78¢95
2 hr. agoBuy79¢4
2 hr. agoBuy21¢4
2 hr. agoBuy79¢80
2 hr. agoBuy21¢80
2 hr. agoSell78¢5
2 hr. agoBuy78¢5
3 hr. agoBuy79¢70
3 hr. agoBuy21¢70
3 hr. agoSell18¢82
3 hr. agoSell83¢25
3 hr. agoBuy18¢10
3 hr. agoSell82¢6
3 hr. agoSell82¢10
3 hr. agoSell81¢30
3 hr. agoBuy23¢13
3 hr. agoSell23¢13
3 hr. agoSell77¢926
3 hr. agoSell23¢876
3 hr. agoBuy78¢10
3 hr. agoBuy78¢30
3 hr. agoBuy78¢10
3 hr. agoBuy22¢11,937
3 hr. agoSell23¢467
3 hr. agoSell23¢7,339
3 hr. agoBuy78¢13
3 hr. agoBuy78¢150
3 hr. agoBuy78¢98
3 hr. agoBuy78¢44
3 hr. agoBuy78¢40
3 hr. agoBuy78¢25
3 hr. agoBuy78¢25
3 hr. agoBuy78¢84
3 hr. agoBuy78¢9
3 hr. agoBuy78¢15
3 hr. agoSell22¢6

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