Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Tomas Etcheverry

Market brief

• Up 38.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 62% on Oct 25, 2026.
• Last 50 trades: 18 buys, 32 sells; the largest was $4.89K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
• Historically, 96% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 95–100% seven days before the end resolved YES (181 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 1 wk. (Nov 3, 2026).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 181 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 96.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
• Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
• Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.

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