← Dashboard · Sports
Updated 2 hr. ago

Game Spread: Novak Djokovic (-3.5) vs Ugo Humbert (+3.5)
51 %
chance
Market brief
- Up 7.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 14% on Oct 28, 2026.
- Last 21 trades: 14 buys, 7 sells; the largest was $443 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 49% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (9,310 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 3, 2026).
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert
5 outcomes- Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert100 %
- Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert Game Spread +/-3.551 %
- Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert Match O/U 21.550 %
- Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert Match O/U 22.550 %
- Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert Set Handicap +/-1.550 %
Total volume
$2.6K
24h vol.
$2.6K
1w vol.
$2.6K
1m vol.
$2.6K
Liquidity
$67.717
Bid / Ask
34¢ / 67¢
Spread 33¢
Last trade
17¢
Start date
Oct 25, 2026
End date
Nov 3, 2026
ends in 6 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 9,310 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 41¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (21)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 7 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 9 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 3 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 3 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 6 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 16 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 61 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 25 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 100 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 100 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 100 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 57 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 1,029 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 349 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 100 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 70 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 538 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 5 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 23 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 43¢ | 8 |
Related markets
The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage0 %▲ +0.0%
- Milan vs Bologna — Milan79 %▲ +19.0%
- Venezia vs Inter — Inter57 %▼ −15.0%
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays0 %▼ −56.5%
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner0 %▲ +0.0%
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage0 %▲ +0.0%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.