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Updated 14 min. ago
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
89 %
chance
Market brief
- Up 63.5 pp over the past week (+58.0 pp in the last 24 hours), after dipping to 24% on Oct 27, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 23 buys, 27 sells; the largest was $3.09K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 88% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before the end resolved YES (581 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 mo. (Nov 30, 2026).
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Total volume
$49.5K
24h vol.
$44.4K
1w vol.
$46.9K
1m vol.
$48.3K
Liquidity
$16.5K
Bid / Ask
88¢ / 90¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
88¢
Start date
Sep 4, 2026
End date
Nov 30, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 581 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 87.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 3¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 min. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 84 |
| 44 min. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 16 |
| 44 min. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 171 |
| 44 min. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 46 |
| 44 min. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 16 |
| 44 min. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 113 |
| 44 min. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 30 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 6 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 78 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 9 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 52 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 100 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 24 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 3,518 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 201 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 200 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 201 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 100 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 28 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 80 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 103 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 94 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 3 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 30 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 52 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 13 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 30 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 30 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 25 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 4 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 518 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 189 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 125 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 250 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 15 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 100 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 10 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 10 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 132 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 2 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 18 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 300 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 30 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 8 |
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