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Updated 38 min. ago

Set 2 Winner: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz
0 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 49.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 51% on Oct 26, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 42 buys, 8 sells; the largest was $2.5K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (317 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 7 days (Nov 3, 2026).
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Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz
4 outcomes- Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 21.5100 %
- Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5100 %
- Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner0 %
- Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz0 %
Total volume
$930.027
24h vol.
$3.7K
1w vol.
$3.7K
1m vol.
$3.7K
Liquidity
$8K
Last trade
17¢
Start date
Oct 25, 2026
End date
Nov 3, 2026
ends in 7 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 317 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.9% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Failed to load orderbook: Upstream request failed (404) for https://clob.polymarket.com/book?token_id=44294211106812794590174200018466947019807196350689367012291833860060850740395
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 15 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2,500 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 172 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 15 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 3 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 146 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 172 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 57¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 92 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 11 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 30 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 113 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 25 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 23 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 59 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 63 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 15 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 9 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 126 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 25 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 39 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 35 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 17 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 60 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 3 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 126 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 12 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 733 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 121 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 14 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 7 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 17 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 32 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 120 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 500 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 26 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 120 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 275 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 55¢ | 11 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 43 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 97 |
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