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Updated 38 min. ago

Set 2 Winner: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz

Set 2 Winner: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz

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0 %

chance

▼ −20.5%1h▼ −49.5%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Market brief

  • Down 49.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 51% on Oct 26, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 42 buys, 8 sells; the largest was $2.5K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (317 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 7 days (Nov 3, 2026).

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Total volume

$930.027

24h vol.

$3.7K

1w vol.

$3.7K

1m vol.

$3.7K

Liquidity

$8K

Last trade

17¢

Start date

Oct 25, 2026

End date

Nov 3, 2026

ends in 7 days

How reliable is this price range?

Of 317 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.9% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Failed to load orderbook: Upstream request failed (404) for https://clob.polymarket.com/book?token_id=44294211106812794590174200018466947019807196350689367012291833860060850740395

Recent trades (50)

Buys 90%Sells 10%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 hr. agoBuy0¢15
1 hr. agoBuy0¢1
1 hr. agoBuy0¢2,500
1 hr. agoBuy0¢172
2 hr. agoBuy1¢15
2 hr. agoSell10¢3
2 hr. agoBuy17¢5
2 hr. agoBuy42¢146
2 hr. agoBuy46¢5
2 hr. agoSell59¢172
2 hr. agoSell57¢5
2 hr. agoBuy21¢92
2 hr. agoSell16¢11
2 hr. agoBuy40¢30
2 hr. agoBuy41¢5
2 hr. agoBuy44¢113
2 hr. agoSell38¢25
2 hr. agoBuy44¢23
2 hr. agoBuy44¢59
2 hr. agoBuy29¢63
2 hr. agoBuy29¢15
2 hr. agoBuy29¢9
2 hr. agoBuy29¢126
2 hr. agoBuy29¢25
2 hr. agoBuy29¢39
2 hr. agoBuy29¢35
2 hr. agoBuy29¢17
2 hr. agoBuy29¢60
2 hr. agoBuy29¢3
2 hr. agoBuy29¢126
2 hr. agoBuy29¢12
2 hr. agoBuy29¢733
2 hr. agoBuy29¢121
2 hr. agoBuy29¢14
2 hr. agoBuy29¢7
2 hr. agoBuy29¢17
2 hr. agoBuy29¢32
2 hr. agoBuy29¢120
2 hr. agoBuy29¢500
2 hr. agoBuy29¢5
2 hr. agoBuy29¢26
2 hr. agoBuy29¢120
2 hr. agoSell29¢275
2 hr. agoBuy45¢5
2 hr. agoBuy49¢2
2 hr. agoBuy49¢2
2 hr. agoBuy49¢2
2 hr. agoSell55¢11
2 hr. agoBuy85¢43
2 hr. agoSell79¢97

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